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Updated: 2 weeks 1 day ago

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls

Sat, 08/10/2019 - 12:00

In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports...

Voters Still Worry About Illegal Immigration But Are Divided By The Wall

Fri, 08/09/2019 - 16:00

Voters are even more worried about illegal immigration and question the federal government’s commitment to stopping it. But they also remain closely divided over the need for – and effectiveness of - a southern border wall.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 73% of Likely U.S. Voters consider illegal immigration a serious problem in America, with 47% who say it’s Very Serious. This marks the highest level of concern in four years. Just 25% disagree and regard illegal immigration as not a serious issue, although only six percent (6%) think it’s Not At All Serious. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 29-30, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

Consumer Spending Update: Economic Confidence Steadies, Still Near All-Time Highs

Fri, 08/09/2019 - 14:30

The Rasmussen Reports Economic Index dropped to 140.9 in August, down nearly four points from last month but still among 2019's highs to date.

Enthusiasm about the economy started to grow immediately following Donald Trump's election as president in November 2016 and spiked to 145.9 in February 2018. By comparison, in President Obama’s final years in office, this index reached a high of 121.5 in January 2015 and was at 108.1 his last month in the White House.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.  

The survey of 1,500 American Adults was conducted on August 1, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Fri, 08/09/2019 - 13:30

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) disapprove.

The latest figures include 32% who Strongly Approve of the job Trump is doing and 42% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -10. (see trends).

Regular updates are posted Monday through Friday at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily email update).

Now that Gallup has quit the field, Rasmussen Reports is the only nationally recognized public opinion firm that still tracks President Trump's job approval ratings on a daily basis. If your organization is interested in a weekly or longer sponsorship of Rasmussen Reports' Daily Presidential Tracking Poll, please send e-mail to beth@rasmussenreports.com.

Biden Goes All In on the Race Issue By Patrick J. Buchanan

Fri, 08/09/2019 - 13:30

Those who believed America's racial divide would begin to close with the civil rights acts of the 1960s and the election of a black president in this century appear to have been overly optimistic.

Analyzing the Pieces of the Democratic Puzzle By Michael Barone

Fri, 08/09/2019 - 12:30

"No candidate received a polling bump as a result of the Detroit debates," writes Morning Consult analyst Anthony Patterson this week. That's a big disappointment for the dozen or more candidates struggling to make the Democrats' 2 percent cutoffs for further debate appearances, as well as for the pundits weary after six or so hours of debates and post-debate interviews.

Black Approval for Trump Returns to Normal Range

Fri, 08/09/2019 - 12:00

Two weeks ago President Trump triggered a media firestorm when he criticized a longtime Democratic congressman’s job performance, saying his Baltimore district is “a rat and rodent infested mess” and “the worst run and most dangerous anywhere in the United States.”

Voters Want More Gun Control But Admit Mass Shootings Can’t Be Stopped

Thu, 08/08/2019 - 14:30

Support for more gun control has jumped to its highest level ever, but a sizable majority of voters also agree that it won’t stop all mass shootings like the ones this past weekend in Texas and Ohio.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 64% of Likely U.S. Voters now believe the United States needs stricter gun control laws. That’s up from a previous high of 57% in June 2016 following the massacre at a gay nightclub in Orlando, Florida. Thirty percent (30%) still oppose any further gun control. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 6-7, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Did Russian Interference Affect the 2016 Election Results? By Alan I. Abramowitz

Thu, 08/08/2019 - 12:30
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s recent testimony was a reminder that Russia attempted to influence the outcome of the 2016 election and very well may try to do so again in 2020.

— This begs the question: Is there any evidence that Russian interference may have impacted the results, particularly in key states?

— The following analysis suggests that the 2016 results can be explained almost entirely based on the political and demographic characteristics of those states. So from that standpoint, the answer seems to be no.

Voters See Worse Care, Higher Costs Under Single-Payer Health System

Wed, 08/07/2019 - 14:30

A number of the top contenders for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination are championing a government-run, single-payer health care system, but voter support is down. Perhaps that’s because voters see the quality of care suffering, while their personal costs go up.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 36% of Likely U.S. Voters still favor a single-payer health care system where the federal government provides coverage for everyone. Forty-seven percent (47%) are opposed, while a sizable 17% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 4-5, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Wed, 08/07/2019 - 13:30

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) disapprove.

The latest figures include 34% who Strongly Approve of the job Trump is doing and 41% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -7. (see trends).

Regular updates are posted Monday through Friday at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily email update).

Now that Gallup has quit the field, Rasmussen Reports is the only nationally recognized public opinion firm that still tracks President Trump's job approval ratings on a daily basis. If your organization is interested in a weekly or longer sponsorship of Rasmussen Reports' Daily Presidential Tracking Poll, please send e-mail to beth@rasmussenreports.com.

Warning: How the VA 'Red-Flags' Patriots By Michelle Malkin

Wed, 08/07/2019 - 13:30

Gun-grabbing crisis vultures just can't let the latest mass shootings go to waste. "Red flag" laws are now all the rage in the Beltway as the magic pill to prevent homicidal maniacs from wreaking havoc on the nation. Even President Donald Trump has endorsed the idea of preemptively confiscating people's firearms if they are deemed a "threat."

Stupid News By John Stossel

Wed, 08/07/2019 - 12:30

"Fake news!" shouts the president. His supporters cheer.

Trump’s Monthly Approval Stumbles Slightly in July

Tue, 08/06/2019 - 16:00

When tracking President Trump’s job approval on a daily basis, people sometimes get so caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture. To look at the longer-term trends, Rasmussen Reports compiles the numbers on a full-month basis, and the results for Trump’s presidency can be seen in the graphics below.

The president earned a monthly job approval of 48% in July, down one point from 49% in June. In January of this year, Trump’s monthly job approval had fallen to 44%, its lowest level in a year. But it jumped five points to 49% in February following his well-received State of the Union speech, recapturing the high ground he held for most of 2018. Fifty percent (50%) disapproved of the president’s job performance last month, unchanged from the month before.

(Want a free daily email update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone and online surveys of 500 likely voters per night. The monthly numbers in this article are based on approximately 10,000 interviews each month with likely voters. The margin of sampling error is less than +/- 1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

For Democrats, Candidate Attacks on Obama Are A Close Call

Tue, 08/06/2019 - 14:30

Front-runner Joe Biden’s Democratic presidential challengers have attacked him for policies enacted under President Obama with whom he served as vice president. Some Democrats complain that criticism of Obama is bad for the party, and Democratic voters are closely divided.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 42% of Likely Democratic Voters believe it is bad for their party when candidates criticize actions and policies during the Obama presidency. Only 26% say it’s good for the party, but 21% say it has no impact. Ten percent (10%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 4-5, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Why the Fed Shouldn't Compete With Private Banks By Stephen Moore

Tue, 08/06/2019 - 12:16

Do we want the U.S. Federal Reserve Board to operate as a commercial bank -- and compete with our private banking system? The Fed apparently wants to, and it's a policy shift that could greatly expand the mission of the Fed.

Exploiting Massacres to Raise Poll Ratings By Patrick J. Buchanan

Tue, 08/06/2019 - 12:13

It was two days of contrast that tell us about America 2019.

In El Paso, Texas, and Dayton, Ohio, following the mass murders of Saturday and Sunday morning, the local folks on camera -- police, prosecutors, mayors, FBI and city officials -- were nonpartisan, patient, polite and dignified in the unity and solemnity of their grief for their dead and wounded.

41% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Mon, 08/05/2019 - 16:00

Forty-one percent (41%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending August 1.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from July 28-August 1, 2019. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Voters Say Tax Dollars Haven’t Helped Inner City But Think More Might Work

Mon, 08/05/2019 - 14:30

Most voters agree that the billions in taxpayer dollars poured into the inner cities hasn’t worked, but they think spending even more might do the trick.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that just 30% of Likely U.S. Voters believe, generally speaking, that federal government programs aimed at improving conditions in the inner city have helped the people who live there. Thirty-two percent (32%) say those programs have hurt inner city residents instead, while 19% say they have had no impact. Another 19% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 31-August 1, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Support for Death Penalty Falls to New Low

Tue, 07/30/2019 - 14:30

Following the Justice Department’s announcement that it is resuming use of the federal death penalty, support for capital punishment has fallen to its lowest level ever.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 49% of American Adults still favor the death penalty. Thirty-six percent (36%) are opposed, while 16% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on July 25 and 28, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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