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Updated: 5 days 21 hours ago

Could We See Trump-Tulsi 2020?

Tue, 02/18/2020 - 15:06

With all the reporting on the New Hampshire Primary, we heard that Bernie won with 28%, followed by Mayor Pete at 26%, Klobuchar at 20%, Warren at 9%, Biden at 8%, and Yang at 3%. But there was no talk about Tulsi Gabbard. One site listed the above and didn’t mention that Tulsi also got […]

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Nevada Democratic Debate: Mike Bloomberg Joins the Stage in Las Vegas

Tue, 02/18/2020 - 13:39

As of just a few days ago, Bloomberg was on the cusp of joining the debate stage for the first time this week in Nevada. As of today, a new national Democratic primary poll puts him well above the threshold set forth by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and Bloomberg will become the sixth candidate […]

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New Polls Show Sanders Leading Nevada While Biden Still Holds South Carolina

Mon, 02/17/2020 - 14:20

Former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg pulled off a delegate victory in Iowa, and then a strong unexpected second-place finished in New Hampshire a week later. After that, though, the polls and battlegrounds are much less favorable to him, despite his early triumphs and headlines. In any case, it doesn’t appear that he will […]

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Campaigns Race to Nevada for Another Potentially Messy Caucus

Fri, 02/14/2020 - 14:22

The pitfalls of conducting high-profile caucuses to select delegates toward a party’s nomination seem to be stressed in circumstances where turnout is relatively high, candidates are plentiful, and the end results are decided by one or two percentage points or less. It’s in these instances where tie-breaking rules and delegate selection math comes into play […]

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What Do Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump Have In Common?

Thu, 02/13/2020 - 19:36

While asserting Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump have anything in common may, on its face, sound absurd, let me connect the dots. They do share a connection – at least for those paying attention; really watching and listening. Let’s review: During the primaries leading up to the 2016 election, there were initially 17 Republican candidates […]

The post What Do Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump Have In Common? appeared first on Election Central.

Nevada Caucuses: CNN Town Hall Schedule and Will Bloomberg Debate?

Thu, 02/13/2020 - 14:22

Following the New Hampshire primary results on Tuesday night, we’ve seen three Democratic candidates decide to end their campaigns after a poor performance. Businessman Andrew Yang, perhaps, the most prominent of the three, decided that the math didn’t add up moving forward and therefore he decided to pull the plug. Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet also […]

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Watch: Can Nevada Avoid Another Caucus Meltdown?

Wed, 02/12/2020 - 20:42

CBS News reporter Tanya Rivero speaks with Steve Sebelius, Politics and Government editor for the Las Vegas Review-Journal, about whether the Nevada Caucuses risk the same kind of results meltdown and delays that plagued the Iowa Caucuses earlier this month. Video Transcript Tanya Rivero: All eyes may be on New Hampshire but the next Democratic […]

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Bernie Sanders Wins New Hampshire While Buttigieg and Klobuchar Beat Expectations

Wed, 02/12/2020 - 04:26

After a long-fought evening of a lead which shrunk and grew at times, it looks like Sen. Bernie Sanders has hung on to claim victory in the Granite State just as nearly every poll projected him to. The margin of victory, however, is much tighter than predicted, with Sanders ending the evening just a couple […]

The post Bernie Sanders Wins New Hampshire While Buttigieg and Klobuchar Beat Expectations appeared first on Election Central.

Andrew Yang Drops Out of 2020 Presidential Race

Wed, 02/12/2020 - 01:16

Well, that didn’t take long, and we don’t even have full results from New Hampshire yet, but businessman Andrew Yang has announced he is ending his 2020 presidential campaign. Citing a lack of ongoing support, a campaign spokesman said Yang decided to pull the plug once the campaign saw no real path toward the 2020 […]

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Early New Hampshire Results Mixed While Biden Bolts for South Carolina

Tue, 02/11/2020 - 17:58

There are a handful of localities in New Hampshire that vote just after midnight in a quadrennial tradition going back to 1960. These locations are small, mind you, no more than a dozen or so votes between Dixville Notch, Hart’s Location and Millsfield. They don’t tell us too much, but that doesn’t stop local and […]

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Live Results: 2020 New Hampshire Primary (Feb 11)

Tue, 02/11/2020 - 13:07

After the debacle in Iowa last week, voters will get another chance at stamping a mark on the 2020 Democratic primary. Here’s everything you need to know for the 2020 New Hampshire Democratic Primary. Voting begins at either 6 am ET or 7 am ET and varies by polling location. Most polling locations will close […]

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New Poll: Bernie Sanders Takes National Lead From Joe Biden

Tue, 02/11/2020 - 02:07

The one consistency across the plane of the 2020 Democratic primary has been former vice president Joe Biden’s ability to maintain a national lead. Back in October, Sen. Elizabeth Warren briefly shot up and claimed a few good national polls, but the lead quickly dwindled leaving her in a worse position than before the bump. […]

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Full Video: President Trump Rally From Manchester, New Hampshire (Feb 10)

Mon, 02/10/2020 - 16:34

President Trump speaks in Manchester, New Hampshire, for a “Keep America Great” campaign rally just one day before the 2020 Democratic New Hampshire primary. Alternate Video Links: Fox News (YouTube), Fox 10 (YouTube), The Sun (YouTube) Date: Monday, February 10, 2020 Time: 7 pm ET Location: SNHU Arena, Manchester Reporting on the rally tonight from […]

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New Hampshire Primary: Late Surge For Amy Klobuchar, Could Biden Finish 5th?

Mon, 02/10/2020 - 14:01

There’s no denying, at this point, that Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota seemed to have the best night at the Democratic debate last week in New Hampshire. She seemed to blaze a trail through the bluster and her poll numbers, for surveys conducted after the debate night, have shown a distinct rise in support. That […]

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Full Video: The ABC/WMUR Democratic Debate From New Hampshire (Feb. 7)

Sat, 02/08/2020 - 12:36

Seven candidates took the stage on Friday evening for the first-in-the-nation primary debate in New Hampshire. The debate was co-sponsored by ABC News and WMUR-TV along with Apple News.

Alternate Video Link: ABC News (YouTube)

ABC/WMUR New Hampshire Democratic Debate (8th Debate)
Date: Friday, February 7, 2020
Location: St. Anselm College in Manchester, NH
Sponsors: ABC News, WMUR, Apple News
Moderators: George Stephanopoulos, David Muir, Linsey Davis, Adam Sexton, Monica Hernandez

Debate Candidates

The seven candidates on stage for the New Hampshire Democratic debate:

  • Former Vice President Joe Biden
  • Former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg
  • Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar
  • Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders
  • Businessman Tom Steyer
  • Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren
  • Businessman Andrew Yang

Debate Moderators

The debate was hosted by a panel of five moderators for the evening consisting of several ABC News personalities along with some local correspondents from WMUR-TV in Manchester.

  • ABC News chief anchor George Stephanopoulos
  • ABC World News Tonight anchor David Muir
  • ABC News correspondent Linsey Davis
  • WMUR political director Adam Sexton
  • WMUR anchor Monica Hernandez

Follow the full 2020 Debate Schedule and 2020 Primary Schedule.

The post Full Video: The ABC/WMUR Democratic Debate From New Hampshire (Feb. 7) appeared first on Election Central.

Full Video: CNN Town Hall With Sanders, Buttigieg, Klobuchar, and Patrick (Feb. 6, New Hampshire)

Fri, 02/07/2020 - 15:14

On Thursday, Feb. 6, four Democratic candidates participated separately with CNN in a live Town Hall event broadcast from Manchester, New Hampshire. Here are the collected full videos of the event.

Watch CNN Town Halls Night 1 (Feb 5): Biden, Warren, Yang, Steyer

Apologies in advance for some of the video quality. CNN has not made the full videos of these town hall events very accessible so we are left to source various copies from YouTube. If there are issues with the videos, please leave a comment below or a link to a better copy if one is available.

Thursday, February 6

Videos ordered in the order each candidate appeared on CNN.

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders:

Former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg:

Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar:

Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick:

Watch the previous night of CNN Town Hall events with former Vice president Joe Biden, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Businessman Andrew Yang, and businessman Tom Steyer available here.

The post Full Video: CNN Town Hall With Sanders, Buttigieg, Klobuchar, and Patrick (Feb. 6, New Hampshire) appeared first on Election Central.

Watch Live: The ABC/WMUR Democratic Debate Tonight From New Hampshire

Fri, 02/07/2020 - 13:45

Following a week of turmoil and a trickle of results from the Iowa caucuses, all eyes will now turn toward New Hampshire for the first Democratic debate of February tonight from St. Anselm College in Manchester.

The event is sponsored by ABC News and WMUR-TV, in partnership with Apple News. Here is everything you need to know to watch the debate including tv channels, start time, candidate list, and moderators.

Debate Full Video

Watch the full debate video at the link below:

Full Debate Video: Watch Debate Video

ABC/WMUR New Hampshire Democratic Debate (8th Debate)
Time:
 8 pm ET (7 pm CT, 6 pm MT, 5 pm PT)
Date:
 Friday, February 7, 2020
Watch On: ABC
Location: St. Anselm College in Manchester, NH
Sponsors: ABC News, WMUR, Apple News
Moderators: George Stephanopoulos, David Muir, Linsey Davis, Adam Sexton, Monica Hernandez

How to Watch

On TV: The debate will air nationally on your local ABC station, as well as WMUR-TV in the New Hampshire market.

Streaming: The debate will also be live-streamed on YouTube as well as the ABC app, ABC.com and connected devices including AppleTV, Amazon Fire TV, and Roku. The debate can also be watched in the Apple News app on Apple devices.

Debate Candidates

There will be seven Democratic candidates on stage tonight in New Hampshire.

  • Former Vice President Joe Biden
  • Former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg
  • Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar
  • Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders
  • Businessman Tom Steyer
  • Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren
  • Businessman Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang missed the last debate in January, but some good poll numbers bumped him into contention and onto the stage for this pivotal debate before the New Hampshire primary.

Who Didn’t Qualify?

To get on stage for this debate, candidates needed to poll 5% in four national or state polls, or 7% in two single-state polls. They also needed to receive donations from 225,000 unique donors, with at least 1,000 unique contributions from at least 20 states. Alternatively, candidates could get on stage if they earned one national delegate in Iowa.

The rules for this debate have precluded former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who skipped the early states and has said he won’t solicit individual donations. Rep. Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii, former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick, and Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet also failed to qualify for the New Hampshire debate.

Debate Moderators

There will be a panel of five moderators for the evening consisting of several ABC News personalities along with some local correspondents from WMUR-TV in Manchester.

  • ABC News chief anchor George Stephanopoulos
  • ABC World News Tonight anchor David Muir
  • ABC News correspondent Linsey Davis
  • WMUR political director Adam Sexton
  • WMUR anchor Monica Hernandez

What to Watch For

Given the way it appears the Iowa caucus results will pan out, the battle on stage may largely be between Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg. It’s also possible that Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren will be forced to get more aggressive given their poor results in Iowa.

The political week has been wild with the caucus debacle, State of the Union address, and the impeachment acquittal. The selection of current events to pick from for moderators to prod the candidates with is seemingly endless. Look for healthcare to dominate a good portion of the discussion, especially as President Trump made healthcare a big topic in his SOTU address on Tuesday.

Which way will Pete Buttigieg decide to play things? Will he go more aggressive, or keep his calm and laid back demeanor trying to lure voters into his “middle ground” between Biden and Sanders. For that matter, Elizabeth Warren has already signaled some disgust with Buttigieg and he may be the main target of her attacks if she chooses to go on the offense. Let’s all remember the “wine cave” discussion from December. If she can’t pull out a second or third place victory in New Hampshire, she’ll have a hard time moving the needle in upcoming states.

Finally, there’s Joe Biden, who needs to hang on for dear life in the New Hampshire. He’s not going to win the state, and he knows that, but he has to finish somewhere respectably following this fourth-place Iowa finish.

More information

Following the ABC debate tonight, there will be two additional Democratic debates in February:

  • Feb 19 – NBC/MSNBC/Nevada Independent debate (Nevada)
  • Feb 25 – CBS/Congressional Black Caucus debate (South Carolina)

Bookmark out 2020 Democratic Debate schedule and the 2020 Primary Schedule for complete coverage.

The post Watch Live: The ABC/WMUR Democratic Debate Tonight From New Hampshire appeared first on Election Central.

DNC Chair Tom Perez Calls for Iowa Caucus Recanvass: “Enough is Enough”

Thu, 02/06/2020 - 18:39

The Democratic National Committee (DNC) has been fairly quiet since the debacle started in Iowa on Monday, but they’re quiet no more. On Thursday, apparently fed up with the inconsistency of the results and the continued correcting of data, DNC Chairman Tom Perez tweeted his demand to the Iowa Democratic Party that a full and complete recanvass of the caucus needs to start immediately.

“Enough is enough,” Perez said in a tweet. “In light of the problems that have emerged in the implementation of the delegate selection plan and in order to assure public confidence in the results, I am calling on the Iowa Democratic Party to immediately begin a recanvass,” he said.

A recanvass is a review of the worksheets from each caucus site to ensure accuracy.

The IDP will continue to report results.

— Tom Perez (@TomPerez) February 6, 2020

At this point, a recanvass may be the first step is truly sorting things out. Whether voters or campaigns will ever fully have faith in the results is debatable, but the effort should at least be made to verify the paper trail.

As we noted Thursday morning, Pete Buttigieg was clinging to the narrowest of leads in Iowa over Bernie Sanders, with 97 percent of the caucus vote released. With such a narrow margin, a recanvass could tilt the scales in either direction and change the balance of the eventual delegate award.

Buttigieg was at 26.2 percent and Sanders had 26 percent, with Elizabeth Warren running in third place at 18.2 percent. Former Vice President Joe Biden had 15.8 percent, Amy Klobuchar, at 12.2 percent and the rest in single digits.

There is no word on what specifically may have launched Perez to call for a recanvass, but there have been missteps along the way over the past 72 hours as the Iowa Democratic Party releases results, then corrects the release, and so on.

CNN is reporting, however, that Perez does have specific questions on how the Iowa Democratic Party is adhering to the initial plan submitted to the DNC:

Perez, in the tweet, is specifically raising questions about how the Iowa Democratic Party is adhering to the plan they submitted to the national party. That plan guided how the state party would allocate delegates.

Perez took the step of calling for a recanvass specifically because of issues around how the Iowa Democratic Party was allocating state delegate equivalents from satellite caucus sites, two sources with knowledge tell CNN.

One person familiar with Perez’s decision said it was done to get ahead of calls for a recount from candidates, something the party worried would look divisive.

The Iowa Democratic Party did not have advance warning that Perez was planning to call for a recanvass, according to two people familiar with the matter.

Catching the Iowa Democratic Party off guard must mean that Perez is taking a lot of incoming criticism and his phone probably hasn’t stopped ringing nor has his email inbox stopped exploding. Party officials, voters, and campaigns are still reeling from the embarrassment of not being able to count votes during an event that literally had years of planning.

Whether the recanvass changes anything remains to be seen, and anything that does change could happen well after several primaries in other states which will make the recanvass less impactful on the process if the lead flips.

The post DNC Chair Tom Perez Calls for Iowa Caucus Recanvass: “Enough is Enough” appeared first on Election Central.

New Hampshire Primary Polls: Pete Buttigieg Shoots to Second Place, Biden Stumbles

Thu, 02/06/2020 - 15:59

In the days leading up to the Iowa Caucuses, most polls still showed New Hampshire looking like a Sanders route with Joe Biden pulling second-place, and Pete Buttigieg nipping at Elizabeth Warren for third place. In just a few short days, after surprise results in Iowa where Buttigieg and Sanders are closely tied for the win, the New Hampshire primary race has begun to shift based on what happened in Iowa.

The biggest change? Joe Biden has seen his numbers drop while Buttigieg, according to one poll, has jumped to within six points of Bernie Sanders, the continued leader in the Granite State, as Newsweek reports:

Support for former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg among Democratic and Independent voters in New Hampshire is gaining as the 2020 field gears up for the state’s primary next week, the latest polling data shows.

The figures—gathered daily by 7 News and Emerson College Polling—showed that Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders maintains a healthy lead in the state where he won more than 60 percent of votes in the 2016 contest.

On Wednesday, 38-year-old Buttegieg closed the gap by four points from Tuesday, a overall nine-point boost for the candidate since Monday. Sanders’ support dropped one point from Tuesday to Wednesday.

Wednesday’s figures put Sanders at 31 percent, Buttigieg at 21 percent, former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren tied at 12 percent, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar at 11 percent.

The poll surveyed 500 registered Democrats and Independents to gauge their support for the remaining Democratic candidates, with a 4.3 percent margin of error.

Here are the two most recent polls out of New Hampshire, the one mentioned by Newsweek from Emerson polling, and another new one from the Boston Globe and Suffolk University:

Emerson College New Hampshire Primary Poll
Conducted Feb 3-5 | Source

  • Bernie Sanders – 31%
  • Pete Buttigieg – 21%
  • Joe Biden – 12%
  • Elizabeth Warren – 12%
  • Amy Klobuchar – 11%
  • Tulsi Gabbard – 5%
  • Andrew Yang – 5%
  • Tom Steyer – 1%

Boston Globe/Suffolk University New Hampshire Primary Poll
Conducted Feb 4-5 | Source (PDF)

  • Bernie Sanders – 25%
  • Pete Buttigieg – 19%
  • Joe Biden – 12%
  • Elizabeth Warren – 11%
  • Amy Klobuchar – 6%
  • Tulsi Gabbard – 5%
  • Tom Steyer – 4%
  • Andrew Yang – 2%

As it stands according to either poll, if Biden can’t get better than third-place after a dismal fourth-place finish in Iowa, his campaign needs some help.

Remember the issue over the weekend with the final Des Moines Register poll being spiked due to an issue with leaving Pete Buttigieg’s name off the list of candidates? The results of that withheld poll have been leaked, and according to the numbers, Biden was heading for a weak night:

Leaked poll numbers from what would have been the final Des Moines Register Iowa Poll showed Joe Biden in fourth place with 13 percent.

Biden’s Iowa staffers were floored, according to a person familiar with discussions among several aides at the time.

“None of us thought we were at 13 percent,” the person said. “We can’t be in fourth place. That just cannot be right.”

But it was right. And it confirmed what rival campaigns had whispered for months — Biden wasn’t inspiring Iowa voters and his support was inch-deep.

While the full Iowa caucus results still aren’t in, Biden’s unexpectedly weak performance Monday — he’s in fourth place with 16 percent with 97 percent of precincts reporting — has provoked frustration and recriminations within the campaign, according to interviews with more than a dozen campaign aides and surrogates.

Would anyone have believed the DMR poll the day before the Iowa caucus giving Biden a fourth-place finish? Some would, of course, but many would wonder about just how hard the former vice president would’ve had to crater in the days leading up to the caucus to see his support cut almost in half.

Further exploration shows that Biden’s Iowa campaign organization was lackluster, at best, and raises questions among donors about being competitive down the road:

Donors needed to be calmed. Staffers began pointing fingers over what exactly went wrong. The campaign parted ways with its Iowa field director, Adrienne Bogen.

Outside the campaign, Biden’s Iowa train wreck revived questions about the durability of his candidacy, and threatened to slow a fundraising operation that was already showing signs of stress.

“We had precinct captains who didn’t know how to run a caucus. And a few didn’t even show. We lost friggin’ people on the second ballot of voting in the caucus. Someone’s head had to roll,” said a top-level Biden campaign staffer Wednesday.

Sufficed to say that if the former vice president finishes third in New Hampshire or even ties with Elizabeth Warren, the alarm bells will be blaring full volume at Biden headquarters.

Meanwhile, with the caucus chaos and the endurance of Bernie Sanders causing heartburn for some establishment Democrats, former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has decided to drop even more money on the race with the hope of boosting himself amid the turmoil:

On the morning after the Iowa caucuses, as the nation awoke to news of another electoral debacle, Mike Bloomberg stood on a stage in an old warehouse here, feigning little concern.

“I hear something happened in Iowa – or didn’t happen, I don’t know which,” the billionaire and former New York City mayor told the crowd, adding that he had been asleep on a plane to Michigan as the results were supposed to be coming in.

When he awoke, Bloomberg recalled, he asked someone the outcome, “and the guy said, ‘Nothing.’ I still can’t figure it out.”

While the rest of the Democratic field tries to recover from Iowa and pivot to New Hampshire, Bloomberg is seizing the moment to gain an advantage – doubling his television spending in key states, expanding his staff to more than 2,000, and traveling the country to introduce himself as a competent and accomplished manager.

Bloomberg is basically a nonfactor in New Hampshire since his name won’t even be on the ballot, he missed the deadline. However, he continues to look past these early states and with the current landscape, his strategy doesn’t seem so crazy right now.

New Hampshire is an entirely different beast than Iowa. The primary in the Granite State is conducted like normal voting, with polls opening in the morning, closing in the evening, and results tabulated and reported by local government officials and the New Hampshire Secretary of State. No apps, no multiple voting rounds, no re-alignments, just a clean primary set for Tuesday, February 11.

Beating Bernie Sanders in New Hampshire is hard for anyone not named Bernie Sanders. For a short time, Elizabeth Warren looked like a contender, but her support quickly receded.

If Pete Buttigieg can come out of Iowa with a win or basically a tie, make a strong second-place showing in New Hampshire, the race for Nevada to “break the tie” will be on, and South Carolina becomes a firewall where Biden will desperately need a solid win.

The post New Hampshire Primary Polls: Pete Buttigieg Shoots to Second Place, Biden Stumbles appeared first on Election Central.

Full Video: CNN Town Hall With Biden, Warren, Yang, and Steyer (Feb. 5, New Hampshire)

Thu, 02/06/2020 - 14:00

On Wednesday, Feb. 5, four Democratic candidates participated separately with CNN in a live Town Hall event broadcast from Manchester, New Hampshire. Here are the collected full videos of the event.

Apologies in advance for some of the video quality. CNN has not made the full videos of these town hall events very accessible so we are left to source various copies from YouTube. If there are issues with the videos, please leave a comment below or a link to a better copy if one is available.

Wednesday, February 5

Videos ordered in the order each candidate appeared on CNN.

Former Vice President Joe Biden:

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren:

Businessman Andrew Yang:

Businessman Tom Steyer:

On Thursday, Feb. 6, there will be four more town hall events on CNN:

Thursday, February 6:
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders
Former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg
Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar
Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick

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